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    AFR Freshwater poll

    July

     Kevin Rudd says people should “just chill” about what a second Trump term might mean for Australia.

    Trump’s return is no cause for chill in Australia

    Trump’s America-first populist mash-up of right-wing nationalism and left-wing economics threatens to jeopardise US leadership of the international rules-based order that benefits Australia.

    • The AFR View

    Coalition overtakes Labor in popular vote

    The Coalition has inched ahead in the popular vote for the first time since the federal election. The Coalition could come within striking distance of minority government.

    • Phillip Coorey
    Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton.

    Albanese knows how messy a hung parliament will be

    Peter Dutton could be within striking distance of government, underlining Labor’s fragile position and why it is nervous at the prospect of another rate rise.

    • Phillip Coorey

    June

    Anthony Albanese has lost ground to Opposition Leader Peter Dutton.

    Labor slumps on climate, cost of living as Albanese’s ratings fall

    Voters have marked down Labor over climate policy and the cost of living, while Anthony Albanese has lost significant ground to Peter Dutton.

    • Phillip Coorey
    Opposition Leader Peter Dutton during question time in Parliament House this month.

    Beware the uncomplicated politician: Dutton on the rise as PM falls

    In December 2022 Anthony Albanese enjoyed a 26-point lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister, but it has now dwindled to just two points.

    • Phillip Coorey
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    May

    Wind is no longer Australia’s second-favourite source of power.

    Voters like gas better than wind power but solar is still king

    A slide in support for wind farms has allowed gas to become entrenched as the nation’s preferred energy source after solar, an AFR/Freshwater Strategy poll has found.

    • Phillip Coorey
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    Punters are not convinced by Labor’s budget

    The budget had two main political aims: to help further with the cost of living; and, in doing so, buy a pre-election interest rate cut. The punters are not convinced it will achieve either, polling finds.

    • Phillip Coorey
    Anthony Albanese’s rating a preferred prime minister fell 2 points to 45 per cent while Peter Dutton’s was up a point to 39 per cent.

    Underwhelmed voters fear budget will lift rates

    Almost 40 per cent of voters think last week’s big-spending federal budget increases the chances of another interest rate rise, and just one quarter believe they will be better off, the latest poll shows.

    • Phillip Coorey

    April

    Anthony Albanese’s rating a preferred prime minister fell 2 points to 45 per cent while Peter Dutton’s was up a point to 39 per cent.

    Labor resumes decline, marked down on key issues

    The Albanese government has again lost its lead over the Coalition as voters mark it down over its handling of key issues.

    • Phillip Coorey

    March

    Anthony Albanese leads Peter Dutton

    PM shows signs of recovery as Labor ‘stops the rot’

    The prime minister’s personal standing has begun to recover, and he’s more trusted than Peter Dutton despite his tax cuts broken promise.

    • Phillip Coorey
    David Rowe.

    Politics, business must focus on aspiration, growth and security

    There has been no major enduring, productivity-enhancing economic reform since the Howard-Costello GST package more than two decades ago.

    • The AFR View
    The CSIRO and the energy market regulator consider nuclear power to be the most expensive source of new energy for Australia.

    Support for nuclear power edges up, ahead of coal: AFR poll

    The Coalition faces a steep challenge convincing voters to back its alternate plan, with solar and wind remaining significantly more popular than nuclear.

    • Tom McIlroy
    Coles and woolies.

    What voters really mean when they say the cost of living is hurting

    Nearly three-quarters of voters say making their household budget stack up is the biggest issue occupying their mind.

    • Tom McIlroy

    February

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    Labor unscathed but unrewarded for tax U-turn

    Just one-third of polled voters feel they will be better off under the revamped tax cuts, although 84 per cent of taxpayers will receive more on July 1.

    • Phillip Coorey

    Barnaby Joyce’s approval rating among voters sinks like a stone

    Voter perception of former Nationals’ leader has plunged following the release of video showing him lying in a Canberra street, affected by alcohol and prescription drugs.

    • Phillip Coorey
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    Youth crime and gang violence related to tobacco store wars is registering in polling.

    Voters warn Labor on crime and social order

    The latest poll shows an 8-percentage point increase in the proportion of voters selecting crime as a top concern.

    • Tom McIlroy

    Tax cut U-turn didn’t spark a recovery. But it did stop the slide

    Both parties have a hard slog between now and the next election if they are going to shift voters mired in indifference.

    • Phillip Coorey