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    Alpha Live

    Unique in its independent, hard-hitting and unprejudiced approach to funds management and investment, this summit will feature a rich cross-section of Australia’s major players and insights from some of the highly respected minds in global investing.

    Featured

    Macquarie’s monster pay, and why big profits left bank investors angry

    In this week’s episode, James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald dive into Macquarie Group’s $5.2 billion profit, dissect a big week for bank earnings, and give their tips for budget surprises.

    Northcape’s Fleur Write speaking at Alpha Live.

    Where four experts would invest $10,000 if they were 25 years old

    The future is uncertain, but four experts share how they would deal with it if they were 25.

    • Lucy Dean
    AustralianSuper’s Katie Dean at The Australian Financial Review’s Alpha Live Summit.

    Bonds v stocks: which market is calling it right?

    There is an unresolved tension between bond and equity markets about when a recession will occur and how severe it will be. Can their forecasts co-exist?

    • Jonathan Shapiro

    Fund managers ‘excited’ about the end of cheap money

    Investors from the Future Fund to hedge fund GMO are preparing for a stock-pickers markets as interest rates near their peak in the cycle.

    • Sarah Jones

    AI stocks, panic buying and why short sellers obsess over the number 4

    In this week’s episode, James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald pull out the best bits of AFR’s investing summit, including top stock tips and the biggest red flags that short sellers look for.

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    April 2023

    Fans of risky assets ‘living in a parallel universe’

    A world where interest rates remain high – and will potentially increase again – is bad for share prices.

    • Christopher Joye
    Former Fair Work Commission president Iain Ross and company director Elana Rubin will join the Reserve Bank board.

    Part-timers might not make RBA ‘fit for purpose’

    James Aitken said the appointment of six part-timers to the Reserve Bank’s proposed monetary policy board might make it harder to attract the best candidates.

    • Ben Potter
    The Alpha Live conference provided a plethora of ideas about what investors should buy and what they should avoid

    Ten investment ideas for choppy markets

    The Alpha Live conference provided a plethora of ideas about what investors should buy and what they should avoid. Here are 10 of the best.

    • James Thomson
    Corona Virus. COVID 19 .  Qantas and Jetstar planes parked at Avalon Airport after many have been grounded due the Corona Virus affect on the travel industry. Seen here a Jetstar plane lands for its last flight for a while.
 Photo by Jason South. 27th March 2020

    Disciplined Virgin boosts Qantas profits: top investor

    The tight discipline imposed on Virgin by its new owners is helping Qantas by limiting the availability of flights, a big Qantas investor says.

    • Aaron Patrick
    Snowcap Research founders Chris Kennersley and Henry Kennersley at the Alpha Live event.

    Australia a ‘ripe hunting ground’ for activist investors

    The co-founders of UK firm Snowcap Research say the dislocations of the energy transition mean a step-up in activism is on the way.

    • Simon Evans
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    Katie Dean, Head of Fixed Income, Currency and Cash, AustralianSuper, speaks at The Australian Financial Review’s Alpha Live Summit.

    ‘Sticky’ inflation and weak growth are a trap for markets

    Some of the country’s top investors say everything from wage rises to strong business activity will make it harder than expected for rates to fall.

    • Ben Potter and Cecile Lefort
    Peter Costello says the March quarter has been a tough one, but that the Future Fund performed well.

    Future Fund outperforms super in March quarter

    The result comes as CEO Raphael Arndt warns that equity markets were showing a worrying lack of concern about economic headwinds.

    • Hannah Wootton
    Emma Rapaport, Markets Reporter, The Australian Financial Review interviews from left John Pearce, CIO, UniSuper, Crispin Murray, Head of Equities, Pendal Hasan Tevfik, Investment Strategist, MST Financial, Anita Costa, Portfolio Manager - Active Equities (Small Caps), IFM Investors

    Is this the dawn of the age of active investing?

    Active fund managers have a spring in their step again, but this environment is going to test their skill.

    • Jonathan Shapiro
    “The inflation we see around the world is described as transitory with essentially no focus on what caused it,” Arnott told the AFR’s Alpha Live Summit.

    Value investors set for a ‘stupendous decade’: Rob Arnott

    The founder of Research Affiliates warned inflation is unlikely to recede quickly, setting up a positive environment for value stocks to outperform.

    • Alex Gluyas
    Short sellers revealed their red flag screens at the AFR AlphaLive conference.

    Short-sellers reveal their red flags

    After a period where fundamentals have been overlooked in favour of a bullish story, the market is throwing up some short-selling opportunities.

    • Jemima Whyte
    Matthew McLennan speaking at the AFR’s Alpha Live Summit.

    Buy gold to hedge against complacent shares: First Eagle’s McLennan

    The Wall Street portfolio manager also nominated the energy sector as a potential hedge despite the transition away from fossil fuels.

    • Alex Gluyas
    Future Fund chief executive Raphael Arndt.

    Five risks your portfolio isn’t ready for – and what to do about them

    The Alpha Live Summit exposed major changes in the investing environment. Some of the country’s top investors share their advice on what’s possibly coming and how to reshape your stock holdings.

    • James Thomson
    Raphael Arndt tells the Alpha Live conference that commodities look cheap at the moment.

    ‘Inflation is staying high and staying sticky’: Future Fund boss

    Raphael Arndt told The Australian Financial Review Alpha Live conference that equity markets are showing a worrying lack of concern about economic headwinds and investors may want to “dial down” their exposure.

    • Hannah Wootton
      Future Fund CEO Raphael Arndt at the sovereign fund’s office in Melbourne on Wednesday.

    Future Fund ready to embrace stock picking again

    Six years after it fired all its active equity managers, the Future Fund is looking for stock pickers with true skill to navigate a world where fundamentals matter again.

    • Jonathan Shapiro
    Port of Geelong handles more than $7 billion of trade each year.

    How a US investor with Macquarie links revived Port of Geelong deal

    It’s a big moment for Stonepeak in Australia having kicked tyres on a handful of assets in the past couple of years in a bid to strike its first local investment.

    • Anthony Macdonald
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    JPMorgan’s Australian cash equities business has moved up one place to 3rd as Credit Suisse loses business.

    Equities sales teams shine as deal-making slows; banks vie for staff

    A slowdown in deal-making and an increase in volatility is helping to bring equities sales – not often the glamour team of the global banks – to the fore, with a string of moves at the local branches of Wall Street giants.

    • Aaron Weinman
    Economists are reluctant to call the end of the RBA tightening cycle, unlike bond investors.

    Bond investors give up on RBA rate rise next week

    While the CPI data confirmed inflation is past its peak, economists, unlike the bond market, say the central bank could still raise rates next week.

    • Cecile Lefort
    Singapore’s central bank said the risks to growth in the global economy are on the downside.

    Bellwether Singapore warns of poor global outlook

    The Monetary Authority of Singapore expects growth in most regions to be below trend or even negative in the coming quarters.

    • Updated
    • Emma Connors

    Know your biases? Take our test to see how they’ll cost you

    GMO’s head of asset allocation, James Montier, says understanding how humans make decisions can help investors avoid common traps. 

    • James Thomson
    Australians are facing an economic environment of rapidly rising interest rates.

    Business activity bolsters case for higher interest rates

    A surprise acceleration in the services sector around the world underscores the risk that rates will stay higher for longer.

    • Cecile Lefort