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    Aussie dollar

    July

    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock will meet to discuss interest rates next week.

    Relief rally sweeps market after cool inflation tempers rate fears

    Shares had the best day since 2022, the Aussie dollar fell, and bond yields tumbled after core inflation prompted traders to rapidly start pricing in a rate cut in Australia.

    • Joshua Peach and Sarah Jones
    The ACCC wants to make foreign exchange calculators provided by banks more accurate.

    ACCC wants banks to make foreign exchange calculators more accurate

    The regulator has proposed changes to FX calculators to ensure banks subtract fees, so customers have genuine transparency.

    • James Eyers

    $A hit with longest stretch of losses in a year on China woes

    The Australian dollar fell for a seventh session below US67¢ as concerns about China’s economy weigh on the currency and commodity prices. 

    • Joanne Tran
    The Aussie dollar’s furious rally could continue into the second half of 2024.

    Why the Aussie dollar rally could just be getting started

    It’s a good time for Australians to be heading overseas, with the currency’s surge to a six-month high likely to extend into the second half of this year.

    • Alex Gluyas
    The Aussie dollar touched its highest level since January 9.

    Growing bets on Fed rate cuts boost $A to six-month high

    Evidence of weaker US growth and a deteriorating job market bolstered conviction that the Fed will cut rates imminently, triggering a rally in commodities.

    • Alex Gluyas
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    June

    Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda.

    Yen’s free fall exposes the Fed’s grip on markets

    The yen is plunging through milestone levels in rapid succession and likely won’t stop until the Federal Reserve finally pivots on rates.

    • Carter Johnson and Anya Andrianova
    Protesters hold flares and banners during a demonstration against the far-right and racism in central Paris.

    Why now’s a good time to visit Europe (and it’s not the Olympics)

    French political turmoil is good news for Australians heading to Europe with the dollar trading at its highest level against the euro in a year.

    • Cecile Lefort
    Robert Waugh and Drew Bradford left NAB to create Ubiquity, a new AUD stablecoin.

    NAB kills its stablecoin, bankers decamp to form Ubiquity

    The bank canned its digital Australian dollar, known as the AUDN, so Rob Waugh and Drew Bradford left to set up their own product, to be called Ubiquity.

    • James Eyers

    May

    The Australian dollar is up 2 per cent this month.

    $A bulls face disappointment on long road to pandemic high

    Traders hoping the Australian dollar will strengthen may be caught out as optimism over China’s rebound fades and the local economy falters.

    • Matthew Burgess and Michael G. Wilson
    The rally in copper prices to record highs haven’t translated to a stronger Aussie dollar yet.

    Rally hits a wall on China growth and US inflation fears

    Worries about China and hotter-than-expected business activity in the United States hit markets on Friday as traders ramped up bets against the $A.

    • Updated
    • Alex Gluyas

    April

    Why now is the time for Aussies to book a flight to Tokyo

    The Australian dollar hit a near-decade high against its Japanese counterpart. But history shows such gains could quickly reverse.

    • Joshua Peach
    The MSCI gauge of emerging-market currencies has hit a new low for the year.

    ‘Nothing has been spared’ as US dollar rips through Asia

    The surprising strength of the US dollar this year has caused strategists to reduce their Aussie dollar forecasts, adding to the risk of sticky inflation.

    • Alex Gluyas
    Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell signalled that interest rates would remain higher for longer.

    Aussie dips below US64¢ as Powell quashes rate cut hopes

    The $A fell to its weakest since mid-November after Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank needed more time to tame sticky inflation.

    • Updated
    • Joanne Tran and Cecile Lefort
    The Australian dollar is tipped to trade sideways or fall even further over the next few months.

    $A hits five-month low as hopes of rate cut fade

    The local currency fell to the lowest since November after surprisingly strong US retail sales data prompted traders to again taper rate cut bets for the world’s largest economy.

    • Updated
    • Joanne Tran and Cecile Lefort
    Francesca Fornasari, head of currency solutions, Insight Investment.

    The biggest market risk you’re probably not thinking about

    Insight Investment’s Francesca Fornasari says investors cannot ignore currency markets, especially Australians who are sending billions of dollars overseas.

    • Jonathan Shapiro
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    The Australian dollar took a leg lower after rate cut bets were dialled back.

    $A hit as strong US data dents rate cut hopes

    The local currency is back below US65¢ after traders pushed back the likely timing of the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia this year.

    • Cecile Lefort

    February

    UBS’s Singapore-based regional CIO Kelvin Tay in Sydney this week.

    UBS bets Aussie dollar among best trades of 2024

    The $5.8 trillion wealth manager expects the Australian dollar will jump 10 per cent this year, and is also betting on a rally in Chinese and Indian stocks.

    • Alex Gluyas
    ANZ is forecasting RBNZ governor Adrian Orr will have to hike rates twice more this year.

    $A slumps to eight-month low against Kiwi on rate rise bets

    Traders ramped up speculation that New Zealand’s central bank will resume its tightening cycle as ANZ tipped the cash rate to hit 6pc.

    • Alex Gluyas

    January

    RBA governor Michele Bullock will welcome a cooling in price pressures.

    Bond traders ramp up early rate cut bets as inflation cools

    The latest CPI data cemented expectations of an RBA policy hold next week, but the central bank may reiterate it is ready to lift rates again if necessary.

    • Cecile Lefort
    The move is an example of the “tokenisation” of financial assets – in this case, wholesale bank deposits – which has been identified by the Reserve Bank as one use for a digital version of the Australian dollar, the eAUD.

    Blockchain comes to bank wholesale deposits in bid to slash costs

    Lenders will explore the ‘tokenisation’ of wholesale deposits to streamline capital raising processes in a pilot with Imperium Markets and the Digital Finance Co-operative Research Centre.

    • James Eyers