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    Australian economy

    Today

    Dr Aruna Sathanapally, Grattan Institute CEO.

    Why this barrister quit and now runs the Grattan Institute

    A decade ago, Aruna Sathanapally was on track to be a judge, or at least a senior counsel at the NSW Bar.

    • Ronald Mizen

    This Month

    Federal Labor just matches profligate state governments with more spending of its own.

    Can our prosperity survive a year of political madness?

    Public policy is now swinging in the populist wind. And it’s hard to imagine the election of a government that can rationally take back control of it all.

    • Michael Stutchbury
    Anthony Albanese, Michele Bullock, Jim Chalmers

    RBA returns serve on inflation

    The RBA’s take down of government spending is reverberating loudly in Canberra and can only undermine Labor’s key argument that its fiscal policy complements monetary policy.

    • Jennifer Hewett
    Michele Bullock’s remarks come amid a split between the RBA and the Albanese government over the economic outlook.

    Rising costs hit Mirvac margins, new homes

    Property developer Mirvac blamed the steep rise in labour and material costs for halving its profit margins on some residential projects, triggering a 13 per cent fall in operating earnings this year.

    • Michael Read and Nick Lenaghan

    Chalmers’ rebates not helping inflation, RBA warns

    Federal and state government energy bill subsidies will not help get inflation under control, and big-spending public sector budgets are making it worse, the bank says.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
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    An industry-wide approach makes the government less vulnerable to increasing criticism it is gambling taxpayer funds on the success or failure of specific companies.

    Future Made in Australia is already running off the rails

    The Albanese government has fallen into the trap of trying to achieve political wins at high economic cost. And nobody is stopping them.

    • John Kehoe
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock had an extra balancing act on Tuesday.

    RBA is in no place to comfort fearful investors

    The reality of Australia’s inflation problem means Michele Bullock has little room to encourage investors’ flagging animal spirits.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Who’s to blame in the Downer-KPMG case? It’s a corporate whodunit.

    Why did the sharemarket run so hard in the first place?

    There was a fragility about last week’s record high that made this sell-off inevitable. How long it lasts is the main game. It will be a tough week.

    • Anthony Macdonald
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

    AFR readers want RBA to hold, divided on saving Rex

    Almost two-thirds of readers surveyed by The Australian Financial Review think the Reserve Bank of Australia should hold rates steady on Tuesday.

    • Patrick Durkin
    Paul Donovan, chief economist at UBS Global Wealth Management.

    Why this economist says we’re all missing the biggest picture

    Paul Donovan says central bank-obsessed investors are underestimating the huge structural changes being created by the fourth industrial revolution.

    • James Thomson
    RBA governor Michele Bullock.

    The rate rise backers now calling for cuts

    Economists have joined traders in dramatically revising their interest rate bets after the RBA’s preferred measure of price pressures eased to 3.9 per cent in the June quarter.

    • Michael Read
    Australia Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and China President Xi Jinping.

    How China would work with Future Made in Australia

    Chinese economic modernisation encompasses enormous potential for bilateral cooperation in emerging sectors such as green development and the digital economy.

    • Xiao Qian

    July

    Treasurer Jim Chalmers

    Inflation helps government dodge interest rate bullet

    The June quarter figures were not good, but they also weren’t as bad as feared. That is likely to give the Reserve Bank breathing space to keep interest rates on hold next week.

    • Jennifer Hewett
    De-risking from Chinese supply chains would be costly and damaging to national security goals.

    Australia can’t afford for economic security to trump trade in Asia

    Economic diplomacy that builds interdependence with China in critical minerals and green energy will contribute to Australian prosperity and security, not detract from it.

    • Shiro Armstrong
    It’s time we stopped our pursuit of endless economic growth from a world with finite resources, without regard for the consequences.

    Why the Productivity Commission is wrong about green subsidies

    The independent government agency has an outdated neoliberal mandate that needs an ESG makeover.

    • Jeremy Cooper
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    Investors are asking the wrong questions on interest rates

    From the RBA to the BoJ to the Fed, the market’s obsession with interest rates will go into overdrive this week. But it may be leading investors down the wrong path. 

    • James Thomson

    ‘Risks elevated’: APRA holds banks’ mortgage rate buffer at 3pc

    APRA said an uncertain economy, geopolitical instability, high household debt and inflation remain key risks for banks, compelling it to keep the loan buffer intact.

    • Updated
    • James Eyers and Jonathan Shapiro

    Construction collapses lead record insolvency year

    It was the highest number of annual insolvencies recorded by ASIC since records dating back to 1999-2000 and surpassed the previous high at the tail end of the global financial crisis.

    • John Kehoe
    The RBA will struggle to justify keeping the cash rate on hold if consumer price index figures this Wednesday show underlying inflation stuck above 4 per cent.

    Inflation to test RBA’s interest rate strategy – and credibility

    Consumer price figures this week are expected to show inflation has overshot the Reserve Bank’s forecasts for nine of the past 12 months.

    • John Kehoe
    Saul Eslake at home in Tasmania.

    Saul Eslake’s one-man mission to undo the GST deal – and make WA pay

    The Tasmanian economist has drawn the ire of an entire state with his campaign to reverse “the worst public policy decision of the 21st century”.

    • Myriam Robin