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    Bonds

    Today

    George Boubouras is urging states to restrain debt funding plans.

    Why this fundie is betting big on Macquarie Group

    K2’s George Boubouras is not worried about the recent market turmoil or the US economy, instead he’s betting on mid-caps and Australia’s biggest investment bank.

    • Cecile Lefort

    This Month

    Wall Street edges higher as July’s CPI report awaited

    US shares posted modest gains in choppy trading. Larry Summers called for a regulator review of Monday’s VIX spike. Bitcoin hovers near $US60,000.

    • Updated
    • Timothy Moore
    Macquarie Group strategist Viktor Shvets has a very different take on a crazy week.

    Macquarie’s Viktor Shvets’ lesson from ‘mini heart attack’ on markets

    Was the market rout – and rebound – a sign of how fragile markets are, or proof they are actually less risky? Viktor Shvets’ answer might surprise you.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Wall Street.

    ASX to rise, Wall St rallies as recession fears fade

    Australian shares are set to open 1.1pc higher. US jobless claims data eases outlook worries. Gold above $US2400/oz. Oil eyes $US80/bbl. Bitcoin reaches for $US60,000.

    • Updated
    • Timothy Moore
    Wall Street.

    ASX to slip, Wall St’s rally falters as volatility persists

    Australian shares are set to edge down. US stocks reversed early gains as crosscurrents continue and volatility persists. Bullock speech at midday.

    • Updated
    • Timothy Moore
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    The bond market is sticking with its rate cut forecasts for 2024, despite what governor Michele Bullock says.

    Why the market doesn’t believe the RBA on rates

    Despite the surprisingly strong hawkish rhetoric from the Reserve Bank this week, bond traders (and some economists) aren’t buying it.

    • Updated
    • Cecile Lefort and Sarah Jones
    Wall Street.

    ASX to slip, Wall St rises as dip buyers emerge after rout

    Australian shares are set to open lower on late New York pullback. Meta, Nvidia pace tech. VIX falls below 27. US 10-year yield rises. Bitcoin bounces.

    • Updated
    • Timothy Moore
    Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michele Bullock said the board seriously considered raising the cash rate on Tuesday.

    Traders don’t believe the RBA’s warning on rates

    Bond markets are still wagering that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year even as the central bank said it considered a rise on Tuesday.

    • Cecile Lefort
    ING’s head of wholesale banking Andrew Bester is in Australia while it’s quieter in Europe.

    Euro summer madness is making markets look extreme

    It’s easy to forget what day-to-day life looks like on the other side of the world at the moment. But it is an important part of the market sell-off story.

    • Anthony Macdonald
    Panic spread across Wall Street before the opening bell.

    Wall Street’s night of fear could have been much worse

    The sea of red on Wall Street on Monday night doesn’t tell the story of the outright panic that spread before the market opened.

    • James Thomson
    Inflation, interest rates and artificial intelligence will dominate this week.

    Five things investors need to watch next

    Spotting the next shoe to drop in markets is never easy. But there are a few spots investors can look for signs of stress. 

    • James Thomson
    Volatility surged to start the week on Wall Street.

    US equities drop as buyers hold back

    The pace of selling gathered momentum as the session progressed in New York, as moves to pare losses proved fleeting.

    • Updated
    • Timothy Moore
    Investors are on a knife-edge as markets around the world tumble.

    Why the market’s favourite trades are blowing up

    For most of the day it was just a nasty sell-off. But by the end of Monday’s brutal session on the ASX, it was clear something much worse was at play.

    • James Thomson
    ANZ, which is facing mounting pressure over the manipulation of government bond trades, can now claim it is the third-largest bank by mortgages.

    ANZ bond trading scandal ‘risks unknown’: Macquarie

    Macquarie analysts have run the numbers on what ANZ’s bond scandal could do to its profits whilst conceding some costs are hard to measure.

    • Jonathan Shapiro
    The sharemarket is on track for the worst two-day sell-off since the outbreak of COVID-19.

    ASX dives with no sector spared as recession fears trigger panic

    The ASX 200 was steamrolled in the sharpest two-day sell-off since COVID-19 first roiled markets.

    • Sarah Jones, Joanne Tran and Jessica Sier
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    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock is expected to hold the cash rate at 4.35 per cent on Tuesday.

    Traders bet on rapid rate cuts as recession fears deepen

    Bond prices are soaring globally after weaker US jobs data rattled investors and prompted traders to dial up the need for urgent rate cuts in both the US and Australia to stem an economic downturn.

    • Cecile Lefort
    The RBA meets on Tuesday.

    The RBA has more to worry about than just inflation

    Monetary policy is now more than ever just a wealth redistribution policy in Australia, just ask Baby Boomers.

    • Updated
    • Tim Hext
    Wall Street is now starting to panic about a recession it is not postioned for.

    Why recession panic is gripping the markets

    Global markets are being lashed by a perfect storm of recession fears, volatility and AI scepticism. But there’s a key reason it threatens to turn into panic. 

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Wall Street.

    Atlassian falls 17pc as US jobs data flashes recession risk

    All three US equity benchmarks fell after July’s jobs report missed expectations and triggered worries the Fed is behind the curve in shifting to rate cuts.

    • Updated
    • Timothy Moore
    Several Wall Street firms revised their rate cut calls, seeing 50 basis point moves both next month and November.

    Fed policy patience cast in harsh light: Wall Street’s view

    As some economists and strategists pulled forward and lifted their rate cut forecasts, others said the violent market reaction to July’s jobs data was wrong.

    • Timothy Moore