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    Inflation

    Today

    Commentators telling the RBA to cut or raise rates are ‘false prophets’ who could cause damage with their poor predictions, deputy governor Andrew Hauser warns.

    Stop telling us what to do with interest rates: RBA deputy

    Commentators telling the RBA to cut or raise rates are “false prophets” who could cause damage with their poor predictions, deputy governor Andrew Hauser warns.

    • 1 hr ago
    • Michael Read
    JB Hi-Fi CEO Terry Smart.

    JB Hi-Fi looks for growth and rewards investors amid resilient sales

    The major electronics and consumer goods retailer will move into the commercial builder market with the purchase of kitchen and bathroom group E&S Trading.

    • Carrie LaFrenz

    Yesterday

    Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock: If her word is her bond, then it’s been downgraded to junk.

    Reserve Bank has finally taken the inflation crisis seriously

    The consumer price index reading gave the RBA an out. Instead, governor Michele Bullock’s tough talk dumped cold water on a rate cut any time soon.

    • Steven Hamilton
    Volatility is the new black in equities markets.

    Time to panic or the correction we had to have?

    Investors’ hope for a Goldilocks scenario all came unstuck last week. But rather than succumb to hysteria, it’s better to recalibrate risk appetite.

    • Stephen Miller

    This Month

    Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia will deliver its first post-pandemic interest rate cut in February 2025, cutting three times next year.

    RBA to cut rates three times next year

    Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia will deliver its first post-pandemic interest rate cut in February 2025.

    • Michael Read
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    Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock addresses year 9-12 business and economics students at Armidale Secondary College this week.

    ‘Hottest ticket since Cold Chisel’: Bullock returns home to Armidale

    The RBA governor’s formative years helped make the country’s most high-profile economist a ‘tough’ leader.

    • John Kehoe
    Macquarie Group strategist Viktor Shvets has a very different take on a crazy week.

    Macquarie’s Viktor Shvets’ lesson from ‘mini heart attack’ on markets

    Was the market rout – and rebound – a sign of how fragile markets are, or proof they are actually less risky? Viktor Shvets’ answer might surprise you.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Transurban CEO Michelle Jablko is telling investors and governments what they want to hear. Can she deliver for both?

    Qantas case a timely warning for money-spinner Transurban

    The flying kangaroo’s drama is relevant for Australia’s dominant toll operator, which is returning more cash than ever to investors despite political pressure.

    • Anthony Macdonald
    Michele Bullock’s remarks come amid a split between the RBA and the Albanese government over the economic outlook.

    Rising costs hit Mirvac margins, new homes

    Property developer Mirvac blamed the steep rise in labour and material costs for halving its profit margins on some residential projects, triggering a 13 per cent fall in operating earnings this year.

    • Michael Read and Nick Lenaghan
    Olivia Wirth was appointed executive chair of Myer earlier this year.

    Big discounting and store closures hit Myer’s bottom line

    The department store has warned it will record a fall in sales when it publishes its financial results next month, as lower customer spending takes its toll.

    • Carrie LaFrenz
    In Japan, protections are in place for existing homeowners, with caps to prevent sudden increases.

    Is Japan ready for a ‘world with interest?’

    An entire generation has grown up knowing nothing but yields near zero and mortgage rates that seemed to get cheaper by the year.

    • Gearoid Reidy

    Chalmers’ rebates not helping inflation, RBA warns

    Federal and state government energy bill subsidies will not help get inflation under control, and big-spending public sector budgets are making it worse, the bank says.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock had an extra balancing act on Tuesday.

    RBA is in no place to comfort fearful investors

    The reality of Australia’s inflation problem means Michele Bullock has little room to encourage investors’ flagging animal spirits.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michele Bullock said the board seriously considered raising the cash rate on Tuesday.

    Traders don’t believe the RBA’s warning on rates

    Bond markets are still wagering that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year even as the central bank said it considered a rise on Tuesday.

    • Cecile Lefort

    Rise in interest rates only narrowly avoided

    A rate increase was closer than many had assumed at the RBA meeting, and a more hawkish-sounding Bullock said it “was a very serious consideration”.

    • Updated
    • John Kehoe
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    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

    Inflation to linger until 2026, RBA warns

    A surge in state and federal government spending means inflation won’t return to the RBA’s target band until December 2026, later than previously forecast.

    • Michael Read

    No rate cuts before Christmas, says RBA governor

    Michele Bullock has declared “near-term interest rate cuts are not on the agenda”, warning the economy remained too hot and ruling out decreasing the cash rate before Christmas.

    • Michael Read
    Panic spread across Wall Street before the opening bell.

    Wall Street’s night of fear could have been much worse

    The sea of red on Wall Street on Monday night doesn’t tell the story of the outright panic that spread before the market opened.

    • James Thomson
    Investors are on a knife-edge as markets around the world tumble.

    Why the market’s favourite trades are blowing up

    For most of the day it was just a nasty sell-off. But by the end of Monday’s brutal session on the ASX, it was clear something much worse was at play.

    • James Thomson
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock is expected to hold the cash rate at 4.35 per cent on Tuesday.

    Traders bet on rapid rate cuts as recession fears deepen

    Bond prices are soaring globally after weaker US jobs data rattled investors and prompted traders to dial up the need for urgent rate cuts in both the US and Australia to stem an economic downturn.

    • Cecile Lefort