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    Interest rates

    Today

    Commentators telling the RBA to cut or raise rates are ‘false prophets’ who could cause damage with their poor predictions, deputy governor Andrew Hauser warns.

    Stop telling us what to do with interest rates: RBA deputy

    Commentators telling the RBA to cut or raise rates are “false prophets” who could cause damage with their poor predictions, deputy governor Andrew Hauser warns.

    • 1 hr ago
    • Michael Read

    Yesterday

    Chelsea McIntosh is shutting down the second-last of her gift shops, in a prime Melbourne CBD location, after it was losing her $10,000 a month.

    ‘Heartbreaking’: Melbourne stores bite the dust as workers stay home

    Small-business owner Chelsea McIntosh has been forced to close down six out of seven gift shops she ran in Melbourne’s CBD as the retail sector has been rattled.

    • Gus McCubbing
    Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock: If her word is her bond, then it’s been downgraded to junk.

    Reserve Bank has finally taken the inflation crisis seriously

    The consumer price index reading gave the RBA an out. Instead, governor Michele Bullock’s tough talk dumped cold water on a rate cut any time soon.

    • Steven Hamilton
    Volatility is the new black in equities markets.

    Time to panic or the correction we had to have?

    Investors’ hope for a Goldilocks scenario all came unstuck last week. But rather than succumb to hysteria, it’s better to recalibrate risk appetite.

    • Stephen Miller

    This Month

    Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia will deliver its first post-pandemic interest rate cut in February 2025, cutting three times next year.

    RBA to cut rates three times next year

    Economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia will deliver its first post-pandemic interest rate cut in February 2025.

    • Michael Read
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    Reserve Bank of Australia governor Michele Bullock addresses year 9-12 business and economics students at Armidale Secondary College this week.

    ‘Hottest ticket since Cold Chisel’: Bullock returns home to Armidale

    The RBA governor’s formative years helped make the country’s most high-profile economist a ‘tough’ leader.

    • John Kehoe
    Michele Bullock’s remarks come amid a split between the RBA and the Albanese government over the economic outlook.

    Rising costs hit Mirvac margins, new homes

    Property developer Mirvac blamed the steep rise in labour and material costs for halving its profit margins on some residential projects, triggering a 13 per cent fall in operating earnings this year.

    • Michael Read and Nick Lenaghan
    Olivia Wirth was appointed executive chair of Myer earlier this year.

    Big discounting and store closures hit Myer’s bottom line

    The department store has warned it will record a fall in sales when it publishes its financial results next month, as lower customer spending takes its toll.

    • Carrie LaFrenz
    Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and RBA governor Michele Bullock.

    Labor working ‘arm-in-arm’ with RBA on inflation, Albanese insists

    The prime minister has pushed back on claims that federal government spending is making it harder for the Reserve Bank to tame inflation.

    • Tom McIlroy
    In Japan, protections are in place for existing homeowners, with caps to prevent sudden increases.

    Is Japan ready for a ‘world with interest?’

    An entire generation has grown up knowing nothing but yields near zero and mortgage rates that seemed to get cheaper by the year.

    • Gearoid Reidy

    Chalmers’ rebates not helping inflation, RBA warns

    Federal and state government energy bill subsidies will not help get inflation under control, and big-spending public sector budgets are making it worse, the bank says.

    • Updated
    • Michael Read
    The bond market is sticking with its rate cut forecasts for 2024, despite what governor Michele Bullock says.

    Why the market doesn’t believe the RBA on rates

    Despite the surprisingly strong hawkish rhetoric from the Reserve Bank this week, bond traders (and some economists) aren’t buying it.

    • Updated
    • Cecile Lefort and Sarah Jones
    More than three out of 10 suburbs are now fetching more than a million dollar median house price, with 34 suburbs joining the club in the past 12 months according to CoreLogic.

    Share of $1m suburbs blows out in Perth, Adelaide, Brisbane

    The share of suburbs across Australia with a median house price of more than $1million is poised to surge in the next six months.

    • Nila Sweeney
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock.

    The RBA is not failing in its mission to keep inflation under control

    Readers’ letters on the Reserve Bank and interest rates; bans on uranium mining; the future of a republic; smoke and mirrors in Victoria; challenges for private health companies; and marvellous maggots.

    David Rowe.

    RBA holds prudent course on rates and inflation

    Australia’s central bank is rightly refusing to take the soft option that would risk forcing it to confront less palatable choices later. The political debate needs to face up to this.

    • The AFR View
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    RBA governor Michele Bullock in Sydney on Tuesday.

    RBA warns rate cuts are a no-go this year

    Why interest rates won’t come down this year after all. They might even go up.

    • Jennifer Hewett
    Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock had an extra balancing act on Tuesday.

    RBA is in no place to comfort fearful investors

    The reality of Australia’s inflation problem means Michele Bullock has little room to encourage investors’ flagging animal spirits.

    • Updated
    • James Thomson
    Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michele Bullock said the board seriously considered raising the cash rate on Tuesday.

    Traders don’t believe the RBA’s warning on rates

    Bond markets are still wagering that the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates this year even as the central bank said it considered a rise on Tuesday.

    • Cecile Lefort
    Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michelle Bullock during yesterday’s news conference.

    Bullock talks tough, but board can’t stomach raising rates

    The RBA has squibbed again this month. With long-run credibility on the line, it needs to focus on getting inflation inside the target band.

    • Richard Holden
    Predictions that the cash rate will remain at 4.35 per cent means that office values are expected to stabilise in December.

    What a cash rate hold means for REITs

    Office landlords face further asset write-downs this earnings season, but there may be little pain after that as interest rates stabilise, says Barrenjoey.

    • Campbell Kwan